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'Katy, Bar the Door': Why Pelosi's Trip to Taiwan is Fraught With Risk of Military Escalation_我的网站

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A |     "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。      中新社海南文昌8月26日电 (记者 符宇群 王晓斌)“我们有意向在文昌设立企业、迁入研发业务。

B | ”前来参加2026文昌国际航空航天论坛的南非派拉林克航天公司(PyraLink Aerospace)首席执行官塔托·劳伦斯·马吉拉表示,期待深化非洲与中国航天产业合作。

C |   8月24日到26日在海南省文昌市举行的2026文昌国际航空航天论坛上,文昌国际航天城管理局与17家商业航天产业链企业签署合作协议,覆盖火箭回收保障、卫星测控、动力试验、航天文旅、产融服务等多个领域;海南航天集团与多家机构签约,将金融、文旅、产业投资拉入“航天朋友圈”。  “海南商业航天发射场已圆满完成21次发射任务,长征十号乙运载火箭在文昌实现全球首次网系回收,卫星超级工厂进入试生产阶段。”海南省省长刘小明表示,海南商业航天正加速起势,向具有全球影响力的商业航天产业集聚迈进。  如今的文昌,不再只是一座发射保障基地,而是涵盖火箭总装、卫星制造、数据交易、文旅观礼等多元业态的产业新城。立足海南自贸港全岛封关运作新机遇,抢抓重复使用火箭产业化新风口,一批早已瞄准文昌的中外企业加快布局脚步。8月25日,海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区在海南文昌揭牌成立。 中新社记者  骆云飞  摄  此次论坛上,来自东南亚、欧洲等地的航天企业代表受访时纷纷表达落地合作意愿,看好文昌发射资源与自贸港政策叠加红利。海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区、中泰共建“智算星群联合实验室”揭牌成立。  带着航天AI算法合作意向而来的千机变(杭州)科技有限公司创始人王玉松透露,目前已在多个方向与相关机构达成初步共识,后续计划在文昌落地人工智能研发公司。  海南正把“发射优势”转化为“数据优势”,让商业航天从“造火箭、发卫星”走向“用数据、卖服务”。在星测未来科技(北京)有限责任公司联合创始人曹德志看来,当前海外业务正成为中国商业航天企业新的拓展方向之一,海南自贸港为企业走向国际提供独特的平台优势,刚成立的海南航天数据跨境加工贸易区在促进企业开展海外卫星应用服务业务领域有先行先试的利好。

D |   “此次公司与海南卫星数据与应用研究中心签约合作,基于雷达卫星在轨智能识别技术为泰国提供针对洪涝灾害的检测服务。”曹德志希望依托文昌,长远助力企业航天技术与服务出海。

E |   国家航天局总工程师李国平表示,将全力支持海南省“向天图强”,加速聚集火箭制造、卫星制造、数据应用等产业,推动商业航天市场常态化业务运行,打造中国商业航天的创新高地。

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